"This is a two-horse race between the Ulster Unionist stallion and the DUP filly," says Mr David McNarry, who is carrying UUP colours in the Westminster election in Strangford.
The DUP's Mrs Iris Robinson is widely tipped to win the seat but Mr McNarry isn't giving up. "The media might have installed Mrs Robinson as favourite but if I will win and even if it's by a nose, I'll be happy."
Strangford is a mainly middle and upper-working class constituency. It has a large farming and fishing community. It's around 85 per cent Protestant and includes hardline unionist areas like Portavogie, Newtownards, Dundonald, and Killyleagh. Kircubbin and Portaferry hold the bulk of the Catholic population.
The SDLP candidate is Mr Danny McCarthy. In the 1998 Assembly elections, the party won 9 per cent of the vote. Sinn Fein, which managed only 1 per cent, is running Mr Liam Johnston.
Alliance secured 12 per cent support then. Its candidate is Mr Kieran McCarthy. The UUP deputy leader, Mr John Taylor, who has held the seat for 18 years, isn't standing.
The DUP believes his decision was based on private polls which showed Strangford was solidly anti-agreement and he would lose. His withdrawal also increased the party's chances because an incumbent MP has the advantage.
According to the Assembly election figures, Mrs Robinson should triumph. The UUP won 29 per cent support but the DUP was a close second on 28 per cent. The UK Unionist party secured 7 per cent and an independent anti-agreement unionist, who has since joined the DUP, 5 per cent.
Mrs Robinson says most of these voters will support her. The UK Unionists aren't running. However, their 1998 candidate, Mr Cedric Wilson, has since formed his own party - the Northern Ireland Unionist Party - and is standing. He believes he can increase his vote.
Mrs Robinson says it's "sad" Mr Wilson, an Assembly member and local businessman, is splitting the anti-agreement vote. Mr Wilson claims the DUP isn't truly anti-agreement.
Its Stormont ministers have taken a legally binding pledge to work the Belfast Agreement, he claims. "Voting for the DUP, instead of the UUP, is like jumping from the frying pan into the fire. I'm the only genuine anti-agreement candidate."
Mrs Robinson has an enviable record of constituency work. The Mayor of Castlereagh Council, she is married to the DUP deputy leader, Peter, and is the best-known female unionist in the North. She claims Mr McNarry can't make up his mind on the agreement. "We call him `little Taylor' because just like John Taylor he constantly changes his politics. Voters know what they are getting with me - strong opposition to the agreement and a vigorous defence of the Union and the RUC."
Mr McNarry, a retired businessman and prominent Orangeman, says he is getting a wonderful reception at the doors.
He claims many Alliance and SDLP supporters will vote tactically for him in order to keep the DUP out.