Stocktake: US recession outlook is key for stocks
There’s a big difference between recessionary and non-recessionary bear markets
There’s a big difference between recessionary and non-recessionary bear markets
It generally pays investors to suspend their doubts at times like this
The bigger point may be that an inversion is not a near-term timing indicator
US bull market has doubled since bottoming in March 2020. Expect a lot less growth now
Last week the Vix fell below 30 for the first time in 11 trading days
History shows stocks usually take geopolitical events in their stride
History suggests this dip might be a good time to buy – but expect a volatile year ahead
Investors were lulled into complacency by 2021 but double-digit falls are normal
Earnings growth could be as high as 30% but there are signs of a more normal year ahead
History suggests odds stocks will rise in 202 are no different from any other year
Stocks have hit new all-time highs in every month so far this year
The bull market is clearly alive and well
Recent momentum augurs well for stocks as ‘strength is a bull’s best friend’
The next six months have historically proven lucrative, research shows
Global growth expectations have plummeted to lowest level since March 2020
Total of 412 of S&P 500’s constituents up this year despite September’s sell-off
Stocktake: September was difficult for stocks but investors cannot complain
Is it time for some seasonal slippage with S&P up seven months in a row?
Market volatility non-existent amid recurring new highs
‘Always expecting the market to collapse is a loss-making strategy’
Investors will hope the rally broadens out again, as a narrow market is not healthy
First half of 2021 was unusually strong for stocks, with new records in Europe
The S&P 500 has eking out only a 1 per cent gain since April
Historically, when S&P 500 is up 10% around May, rest of year ‘does really well’
Stocks continuing to go up so investors could see growth as unsustainable
Stocktake: Stocks have gained an astonishing 80% since bottoming out last year
S&P 500 gained 2.4 per cent at start of March before tumbling in following days
US 10-year yields jump from 0.5 per cent last August to almost 1.6 per cent
The S&P 500 gained 14.3% between election day and Biden’s inauguration
Indices had massive gains last month but that’s par for the course, says LPL Research
S&P 500 enjoys second-best post-election performance in history
History shows recovery swings are almost always followed by gains
Research shows the Dow has averaged annualised gains of 9.9% under Trump – right in line with historical averages
It has been a crazy, record-breaking year, with unprecedented twists and turns
Crosswords & puzzles to keep you challenged and entertained
Full general election coverage including analysis and results for all 43 constituencies
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