UK economy grows 0.1% in first quarter of 2023 despite March drop

Shrinking services sector drove March output lower

The UK economy grew 0.1 per cent in the first three months of the year.
The UK economy grew 0.1 per cent in the first three months of the year.

British gross domestic product grew by 0.1 per cent in the first three months of 2023, despite an unexpectedly sharp 0.3 per cent drop in output in March, figures from the Office for National Statistics showed on Friday.

Economists polled by Reuters had mostly forecast 0.1 per cent quarter-on-quarter growth in the first three months of this year, but had expected growth to hold steady in the final month of the quarter.

“The fall in March was driven by widespread decreases across the services sector,” ONS statistician Darren Morgan said.

“Despite the launch of new number plates, cars sales were low by historic standards – continuing the trend seen since the start of the pandemic – with warehousing, distribution and retail also having a poor month,” he added.

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Widespread strikes acted as a further drag on economic activity in the first quarter, the ONS said.

Britain's economy remained 0.5 per cent smaller than its size in the fourth quarter of 2019, shortly before the coronavirus pandemic, although on a monthly basis it was 0.1 per cent larger than in February 2020, the data showed.

The Bank of England forecast on Thursday that Britain would grow by 0.25 per cent in 2023 – a weak expansion but one which avoids a recession – having previously predicted a contraction of 0.5 per cent.

Britain is struggling with an inflation rate which topped 10 per cent in March – double the level in the United States and higher than the euro zone’s too – as well as a very tight labour market, a string of interest rate hikes and after-effects of Brexit. – Reuters