US Federal Reserve talks unlikely to end in interest hike

Most experts expect no change as policymakers consider increase to keep US economy from overheating

Top officials at the US Federal Reserve have begun a two-day policy meeting that is narrowly expected to end without an interest rate hike.

Policymakers are considering a rate increase to keep strengthening economy in the US from overheating, a decision that could potentially roil financial markets worldwide.

The meeting began at 6pm Irish time, a Fed official said. The central bankers are due to reconvene Thursday morning and announce their decision at 7pm Irish time.

Global banks and investment funds see the chances for a rate increase as essentially a toss up, although most experts see a slightly higher probability for standing still.

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In a poll of 80 economists, 45 said the Fed would keep its benchmark interest rate between 0 and 0.25 per cent. Thirty-five expected a hike. Among primary dealers, 12 banks expect the Fed to hold and the remaining 10 expect a hike.

Bets in financial markets, suggest investors see the chances of a hike at just one in five.

Some observers of the world’s most powerful central bank blame the Fed for being unusually enigmatic and sending mixed signals. – (Reuters)