The Health Insurance Authority has made a decision on risk equalisation, but will not announce it until it has informed the Minister for Health, Mr Martin.
The authority will convey its decision to the Minister for Health today or tomorrow.
A spokesman for the authority would not say whether it had decided to recommend triggering the scheme following a meeting yesterday.
The scheme, if initiated, could see a financial transfer from BUPA to the VHI of up to €20 million per annum.
A preliminary finding by the authority some weeks ago effectively said the scheme should not be triggered at this stage.
It is thought by some sources that the final recommendation will uphold this view.
In its preliminary finding the authority found that the risk profile of VHI customers relative to BUPA customers was not high enough to trigger a financial transfer.
Since issuing its preliminary findings the authority has received submissions from both the health insurers, with the VHI arguing strongly that the preliminary decision should be reversed to guarantee the long-term stability of the health insurance market.
Under the legislation governing the scheme, the Minister for Health cannot reverse the Health Insurance Authority's decision if it recommends against introducing the scheme, although he has some discretion if the authority recommends triggering it.