If Alitalia's bankruptcy spells the end for the airline, Italians may well be able to turn to Ryanair, or possibly some of its rivals, as an alternative. Figures produced by industry newsletter, Anna Aero, show that the Irish operator, along with the likes of Vueling and Easyjet, has mopped up traffic in Italy.
Ryanair will have 20 per cent of Italy's international market this summer, making it by far the biggest player in that end of the business. The next nearest is Easyjet, with 11.5 per cent, while Alitalia comes third with 8.6 per cent. Vueling is fourth with 4.8 per cent.
This does not compare well with the performance of other European flag carriers in their home markets. Lufthansa, for instance, will have 27 per cent of international capacity from German airports this summer, while Air France will have 24 per cent.
The picture is equally interesting on the Italian home front. Alitalia is the biggest player here, with 45 per cent of all flights and 40 per cent of seats. Ryanair comes second, with 25 per cent of all flights, but with 31 per cent of capacity, meaning it is relatively hot on the local carrier’s heels.
Has a monopoly
However, this picture is somewhat complicated as Alitalia has a monopoly on 10 of its 15 biggest domestic routes. According to Anna Aero, this gives it 84 per cent of seats on those routes, which include Rome-Milan. Ryanair competes with it on services from Rome to
Catania
and
Palermo
in Sicily, where Vueling also offers an alternative.
Ryanair already has a big presence in Rome Fiumicino Airport, where it has been building business as Alitalia rolled back. It also has a base at Milan Malpensa. By last autumn, it was Italy's biggest airline. Its willingness to compete also forced other rivals, including Vueling, to cut capacity.
While no-one seems to believe that Alitalia will go under – the Italian government has given it a bridging loan – if it were to go, there are plenty of airlines ready to soak up the capacity.
Ryanair's willingness to move quickly to cash in on opportunities would allow it to further consolidate its position in a market with 160 million passengers. It could also offer some transatlantic connections if it were to agree a deal with Norwegian Air International.
The real issues though its this. Should Alitalia go, Italy would be the only big EU state without a national carrier. If this were to happen and private sector airlines were to quickly fill the gap, it would beg the question: Do we really need “national airlines” any more?