Bird flu risk to humans waning, says WHO

TURKEY: The World Health Organisation (WHO) said yesterday it expected more human cases of bird flu following the death of four…

TURKEY: The World Health Organisation (WHO) said yesterday it expected more human cases of bird flu following the death of four people in Turkey, but added that the risks to humans were steadily diminishing.

The organisation confirmed laboratory test results in Ankara which revealed that four people from two families in eastern Turkey died of bird flu this month and a further 16, largely children, were infected with the H5N1 virus.

"We do expect to see some cases because it takes time before the virus in birds has completely disappeared," said Dr Guenael Rodier, who heads the WHO mission to Turkey and is an expert in communicable diseases.

"We know that the risk remains with close interaction between people and birds, but we believe it is going down daily."

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Human victims had been confined to east Asia until this month, when three infected children from the same family died in eastern Turkey, showing the deadly H5N1 strain had reached the crossroads of Europe, Asia and the Middle East.

Dr Rodier said the four dead children from the village of Dogubayazit caught the deadly virus from contact with sick poultry in late December to early January before authorities began a mass culling campaign and the public became aware of the dangers.

The brother of Fatma Ozcan, who died on Sunday at a Van hospital from H5N1, was also diagnosed to have caught the bird flu virus and was in serious condition at a hospital in Van.

"The two siblings were very likely infected on January 1st when culling hadn't yet started and public awareness was not yet there," he said.

Ducks began dying in the family's flock that day, and the girl and her brother slaughtered a duck for food, he said.

Since then people have quickly gone to hospital and received antiviral Tamiflu treatment, which has sharply reduced the risks to their lives.

The virus is already endemic across parts of Asia and scientists fear the H5N1 strain could mutate from a disease that affects mostly birds into one that can pass easily between people, leading to a human pandemic.

The UN's food and agriculture organisation has expressed fears that the virus could take hold in neighbouring countries such as Georgia, Iran, Syria and Armenia.

"Turkey shows that it could happen elsewhere [in the region]," Dr Rodier said. - (Reuters)