Constituency by constituency:
West Belfast
SF, 4; SDLP, 1; DUP, 1.
Gerry Adams and Sinn Féin have a huge ambition to capture a fifth seat here, at the expense of SDLP MLA Alex Attwood or Diane Dodds of the DUP. The SDLP is running two candidates - Margaret Walsh with Attwood - which, given the unpredictability of proportional representation, could leave it tight for Attwood. But the SDLP votes are there.
Dodds took the seat against the odds in the 2003 Assembly elections and, if Shankill unionists and loyalists are thinking politically at all, she should be returned.
North Belfast
DUP, 2; UUP, 1; SF, 2; SDLP, 1.
Nigel Dodds and the DUP have their voracious sights on Ulster Unionist Fred Cobain's seat, in an attempt to gain a third seat here for the DUP. Cobain's a fighter though.
Sinn Féin's Gerry Kelly should take another Sinn Féiner into the Assembly with him, while the SDLP's Alban Maginness is odds on for the other seat.
South Belfast
UUP, 2; DUP, 1; SDLP, 2; SF, 1.
Look at the Westminster figures and the DUP has a chance to reverse the 2003 Assembly result, which had the UUP with two seats and the DUP with one. MP Alasdair McDonnell and Carmel Hanna seem well placed to hold their seats for the SDLP, while Alex Maskey should maintain the SF foothold established last time around. But will the arrival of Chinese Alliance candidate Anna Lo upset the chemistry by capturing the imagination of the floating South Belfast voters?
East Belfast
DUP, 2; UUP, 2; Alliance, 1; PUP, 1.
Peter Robinson and the DUP have earmarked East Belfast for a third seat, gained most likely at the expense of Dawn Purvis of the Progressive Unionist Party, now that David Ervine, sadly, has died.
The DUP does not rule out the chance of a fourth seat if proportional representation works in its favour. The UUP would be in serious danger if leader Sir Reg Empey and Michael Copeland did not hold on to their seats. Naomi Long for Alliance has the profile and has put in the work to be returned.
North Down
DUP, 2; UUP, 2; Alliance, 1; UKUP, 1.
Had Sylvia Hermon been in a position to stand, there was a chance here for the UUP to take a third seat. Alliance speaker of the transitional Assembly Eileen Bell is not running and there are greedy eyes on her seat. Stephen Farry for Alliance hopes to fend off all opposition, leaving the constituency as it was.
Lagan Valley
UUP, 3; DUP, 1; SDLP, 1; Alliance, 1.
The DUP now has three seats because of the defections of Jeffrey Donaldson and Norah Beare - three seats which they seem certain to hold on to, with even a shout of a fourth if Donaldson can deliver big and if the vote is managed. The UUP seems safe for one.
Big hitters Seamus Close for Alliance and Patricia Lewsley for the SDLP are not running this time and both seats are now vulnerable. Paul Butler, if he can overcome the absence of transfers, has a chance for an SF first here. A tight three-way tussle for final seats beckons.
East Antrim
DUP, 3; UUP, 2; Alliance, 1.
Odds are here for the constituency to remain as it was, but Larne's SDLP mayor Danny O'Connor, who has withstood the worst that local loyalist bigots could throw at him, is striving to repeat his surprise of 1998 when he won a seat and he could be there at the last.
Strangford
DUP, 3; UUP, 2; Alliance, 1.
Fun and games here. Lord Kilclooney (John Taylor) is standing down and the DUP believe Iris Robinson's vote-getting ability could land four seats for the DUP. SDLP's Joe Boyle, who was fewer than 300 votes behind Kieran McCarthy for Alliance in 2003, figures this could be his time, but will unionist transfers save McCarthy?
North Antrim
DUP, 3; UUP, 1; SF, 1; SDLP, 1.
The status quo in terms of figures would seem the likeliest result, but persistent poll-topper Ian Paisley and DUP believe there is an outside chance of winning an extra seat, most likely from SDLP or Sinn Féin, now that neither Seán Farren nor Philip McGuigan respectively are running for the nationalist parties. Local DUP tensions threaten that ambition though.
South Antrim
DUP, 2; UUP, 2; SDLP, 1; Alliance, 1.
This is where, in 2003, Sinn Féin's candidate Martin Meehan prematurely and incorrectly called the final seat for himself from Alliance leader David Ford, who held on.
The bigger gun of Mitchel McLaughlin has been sent in to take on Ford, but those unionist transfers make this a gamble for Sinn Féin. The SDLP could also be under threat from SF if it can't nab Ford's seat.
South Down
SDLP, 2; SF, 2; DUP, 1; UUP, 1.
The SDLP will try to take back its 1998 third seat from Sinn Féin, but when Sinn Féiners dig in they are hard to uproot. Former UUP minister Dermot Nesbitt is not running but it would seem there is a seat each here for the UUP and DUP.
Upper Bann
DUP, 2; UUP, 2; SF, 1; SDLP, 1.
History is always shifting and there is no David Trimble on this occasion. The DUP is all the time inching into the UUP vote here, but would need a surge to gain a third seat from it. Sinn Féin and the SDLP should hold one seat each.
Newry and Armagh
SF, 3; SDLP, 1; DUP, 1; UUP, 1.
With Davy Hyland deselected by Sinn Féin and running as an Independent, there is an opportunity for the SDLP to take back a seat from SF, but it won't be easy. Could Hyland himself sneak it? Danny Kennedy should be okay for the UUP. On paper the DUP has the votes, but many of them belonged to Paul Berry, who is running as an Independent after he was expelled from DUP because of tabloid allegations about his private life. He can't be written off.
Mid Ulster
SF, 3; DUP, 1; UUP, 1; SDLP, 1.
Sinn Féin's Martin McGuinness should have little difficulty returning two colleagues with him. The UUP's seat would be under threat from the DUP, looking for a second, but only if the party has experienced meltdown. There is also a seat there for the SDLP.
East Derry
DUP, 2; UUP, 2; SF, 1; SDLP, 1.
The UUP is under pressure as the DUP and its MP Gregory Campbell are targeting the party for a third seat here. The SDLP and SF seem sure for one seat each.
Foyle
SDLP, 3; SF, 2; DUP, 1.
With Derry Sinn Féiners Martin McGuinness in Mid Ulster and Mitchel McLaughlin battling in South Antrim, SF seems to have conceded Foyle to Mark Durkan, so it should be the same again in numbers.
West Tyrone
SF, 2; SDLP, 1; DUP, 1; UUP, 1; Independent, 1.
Tricky to call this one. Independent hospitals candidate Kieran Deeny seems a good bet to hold his seat, won from the SDLP in 2003, but it was a seat SF was targeting. The SDLP must struggle for every vote and transfer to ensure it holds its single seat from SF. The DUP is encroaching into the UUP vote but the likelihood remains that there will be one seat each for both main unionist parties.
Fermanagh, South Tyrone
UUP, 2; DUP, 1; SF, 2; SDLP, 1.
It was two to one for the Ulster Unionists in the UUP versus DUP battle in 2003, but then Arlene Foster defected to Dr Paisley. What the DUP has it should hold on to. SF e sniffing a third seat from the SDLP, but Tommy Gallagher for the SDLP still holds his quota and will be hard to shift.
