Fianna Fáil bounces back to become second largest party

Fianna Fáil is now the second biggest party in the state for the first time in over two years, according to the latest Irish …

Fianna Fáil is now the second biggest party in the state for the first time in over two years, according to the latest Irish Times/Ipsos MRBI poll.

It is narrowly ahead of Sinn Féin and well ahead of Labour having gained a substantial level of support over the course of 2012.

Fine Gael has dropped a point since the last Irish Times poll in May while Labour is up two.

Satisfaction with the Government is down six points while the satisfaction of all the main party leaders has dropped. Taoiseach Enda Kenny is the most popular party leader.

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When people were asked who they would vote for if a general election were held tomorrow, the figures for party support – when undecided voters are excluded – compared with the last Irish Times poll were:

Fine Gael, 31 per cent (down one point); Labour, 12 per cent (up two); Fianna Fáil, 21 per cent (up four points); Sinn Féin, 20 per cent (down four points); Green Party, 2 per cent (no change); and Independents/ Others, 14 per cent (down one point).

The survey was undertaken on Monday and Tuesday of this week among a representative sample of 1,000 voters aged 18 and over, in face-to-face interviews at 100 sampling points in all constituencies.

The margin of error is plus or minus 3 per cent. The core vote for the parties compared with the last Irish Times poll was: Fine Gael, 20 per cent (down three points); Labour, 8 per cent (no change); Fianna Fáil, 14 per cent (up two points); Sinn Féin, 14 per cent (down four points); Green Party, 1 per cent (no change); Independents/Others, 10 per cent (down one point); and undecided voters, 33 per cent (up five points).

The number of undecided voters at one third of the electorate is very high but it reflects the fact that the Government is just 18 months into its term and a general election is not regarded as likely for a long time.

Stephen Collins

Stephen Collins

Stephen Collins is a columnist with and former political editor of The Irish Times