Lisbon: at a glance

The likely consequences of rejection: The Lisbon Treaty could not be implemented and the current decision-making structures …

The likely consequences of rejection:The Lisbon Treaty could not be implemented and the current decision-making structures agreed under the Nice treaty in 2001 would continue to apply.

• Some minor reforms not requiring treaty base might be introduced.

• The Government could order a rerun of the referendum, although observers warn that it would not be easy to come up with Nice-like Irish protocols to sweeten the pill.

• EU likely to face a similar crisis of confidence to the one that it suffered when the French and Dutch rejected the EU constitution in 2005.

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• Taoiseach Brian Cowen and the Government would lose credibility at EU level, possibly undermining Ireland's influence in upcoming talks on a range of issues.

• EU leaders unlikely to agree to try and draft a new EU treaty in the short to medium term.

• It is possible that some EU states would attempt to move ahead with closer integration on their own - a situation Irish diplomats fear would isolate Ireland at EU level.