Belarus exit polls show victory for ‘last dictator in Europe’

President Alexander Lukashenko expected to win fifth term by up to 84% of the vote

Alexander Lukashenko: his re-election five years ago led to mass protests and imprisonment of opposition figures, but support has risen since he cast himself as a guarantor of stability in economic crisis and over neighbouring Ukraine. Photograph: Tatyana Zenkovich/EPA

Exit polls in Belarus showed President Alexander Lukashenko winning a fifth term by a landslide on Sunday in elections that could see an easing of relations with the West and raise questions about his ties to Vladimir Putin’s Russia.

Mr Lukashenko’s re-election five years ago led to mass protests and the imprisonment of leading opposition figures, but support for his 20-year regime has risen since he cast himself as a guarantor of stability in the face of economic crisis and a pro-Russian separatist conflict in neighbouring Ukraine.

The West has long ostracised the regime, described in 2005 by US secretary of state Condoleezza Rice as “Europe’s last dictatorship”, over its human rights record and clampdown on political dissent. It has imposed economic sanctions on some Belarussian officials and firms.

Warming up to the West

Nevertheless, Mr Lukashenko’s criticism of Russia’s annexation of the Crimea peninsula last year, his hosting of Ukraine peace talks and his pardoning of the six opposition leaders in August suggest he is seeking to improve his image in the West, observers say.

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“We have carried out everything the West wanted on the eve of the elections . . . The ball is now firmly in the West’s court,” he said.

Exit polls showed him winning 80 to 84 per cent of the vote, slightly more than the 80 per cent registered in the 2010 elections. Turnout was at 81 per cent two hours before polls closed, according to the central elections commission.

Signs of strain

Relations with former Soviet master Moscow have shown signs of strain. In September, Mr Putin approved a plan to build an airbase in Belarus, but early this month Mr Lukashenko said his country had no need for such a base, appearing to bow to public protests on the eve of the election.

The European Union will lift its sanctions on Belarus for four months after the vote, barring any last-minute crackdown, diplomatic sources said on Friday.

Previous elections in Belarus were considered unfair by western observers and the Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe, which was monitoring the vote, said in September the ballot represented a “pivotal moment” for Belarus to demonstrate a willingness to hold free and fair elections. – (Reuters)